Monsoon moisture will start pouring into the region through the end of the week. For the most part, you might not notice much. Most of the moisture will be above us and will occasionally appear as mid to high level clouds. However, even in the low levels, the humidity levels will rise slightly, so it can feel a little heavy at times. With the monsoon humidity present, we will see an increased chance of showers/thunderstorms in the area. For that to happen, we will need another influence to happen. Some small scale disturbances may appear in the next few days, but the best luck will be out of the weekend as a trough passes in our north. At this time it is difficult to pinpoint a particular time when we might see storms, but we will sit with a 10% chance for next week. Additionally, moisture from tropical cyclones in the eastern Pacific may increase the chances of a weekend breakout as it heads north.
In the meantime, expect the normal cycle of low cloud on the coast with seasonal temperatures both on the coast and inland.
AIR QUALITY: GOOD
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some early splashes, then partial clearing around the coast and mostly sunny skies inland. Coastal highs in the 60s-70s with mostly 70s-90s inland. Winds pick up for the valleys in the afternoon/evening. Occasional medium to high level clouds.
Overnight: Lows in most parts of the 50s, with light winds that will gradually bring high clouds into our area from the south. Low cloud and drizzle are likely around the coast.
Friday: Mostly cloudy at first, then clearing around the coast and mostly sunny inland. Coastal highs in the 60s-70s with mostly 70s-90s inland. Winds pick up for the valleys in the afternoon/evening. Occasional medium to high level clouds.
Extended: Monsoon humidity persists through the weekend, but it will be high on our marine layer. Expect the season on the coast with our normal daily cycle of low cloud and seasonal temperatures inland with mostly sunny skies. Each day has a 10% chance of having a single shower or thunderstorm. Stay tuned for forecasts.
Normal temperatures this week:
-The Climate Prediction Center outlook for August 4e – tene calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and near normal precipitation*.
*Note: There is usually little or no precipitation at this time of year.
– El Niño/La Niña STATUS: La Niña Notice
– Forecast: Weak La Niña until autumn
– State of dryness of the area: “Severe Drought” for most of the viewing area with “Extreme Drought” in southern San Benito and southeast Monterey Counties. The southeast third of San Benito County was upgraded to “exceptional drought”