Atlantic hurricane season kicks off on June 1, but the National Hurricane Center released its first tropical weather forecast for a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.
The system has a very low chance of developing into a named tropical storm or hurricane before moving over land, the NHC said in its 1 p.m. forecast.
“Surface pressures remain elevated and environmental conditions do not appear favorable for significant development before this system moves inland over the central Gulf Coast within a day or two,” the update reads. .
The system is expected to dump heavy rain and gusty winds from southeast Louisiana into western Florida over the next 24 to 36 hours.
Three to four inches of rain are expected on the coast through Monday evening, said Matt Stratton, director of emergency management for Harrison County.
“Showers and thunderstorms are starting to roll out this afternoon throughout the region,” the National Weather Service New Orleans said in a Facebook post. “Expect heavy showers with stronger activity.”
Weather officials predict an active hurricane season this year.
This story was originally published May 22, 2022 3:32 p.m.