Here is the weather forecast for the next two days
Thursday (August 11)
- Fairly widespread to widespread rains with very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are likely in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat State, Konkan, Goa and Madhya Maharashtra.
- Heavy showers are forecast over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, East Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.
- Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is possible over Karnataka, Kerala and Mahé.
- Fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorms is expected over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura.
- Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir , Ladakh, West Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh coast, Telangana and Lakshadweep.
- Isolated rains with a risk of lightning are forecast over Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu.
Friday (August 12)
- Fairly widespread to widespread rains with isolated very heavy rains and thunderstorms are likely in parts of western Rajasthan and Gujarat region.
- Fairly widespread to widespread rains with isolated heavy showers are possible over Odisha, eastern Uttar Pradesh, eastern Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra, Kutch, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.
- Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is likely on the coast of Karnataka, Kerala and Mahé.
- Fairly extensive falls with thunderstorms are likely over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
- Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, Marathawada, Andhra Pradesh Coast, Telangana, Inner Karnataka and the Lakshadweep.
- Isolated rains are likely over Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, West Rajasthan, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu, with a risk of lightning.
Summary of forecasts for the next five days
A well-marked low pressure area persists over Madhya Pradesh while an east-west shear zone crosses the northern peninsula of India. These systems are expected to produce heavy to very heavy rains over Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and adjoining regions over the next few days.
In addition, the above systems are expected to produce very heavy rainfall (≧115mm/day) in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat State, Konkan, Goa and Madhya Maharashtra on Thursday and in the region of western Rajasthan and Gujarat on Friday.
Meanwhile, another area of low pressure over Saurashtra and adjacent areas will likely become more pronounced through Friday as it moves westward off the Indian coast.
A trough off the coasts of Saurashtra and Kerala is expected to produce heavy rain (≧65 mm/day), mainly on the west coast of the southern peninsula of India on Thursday.
Rainfall activity will likely ease slightly on Friday. But a new cyclonic circulation will develop over the western Bay of Bengal and move westward on Saturday bringing renewed rainfall activity from Saturday from Odisha and adjacent areas. Very heavy rains (≧115mm/day) are possible over Odisha from Saturday to Monday.
As for mercury levels, maximum temperatures are expected to be well below average in northwest India and slightly below normal in eastern India during this period, while ‘they are close to normal or slightly above normal in other regions during this period. Minimum temperatures will be slightly above normal in the Himalayan region and southern India, while they will be near normal in other areas.
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