Weather today (August 16): Heavy rain in Lash Gujarat, Rajasthan, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Vidarbha

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Here is the weather forecast for the next two days

Tuesday (August 16)

  • Very heavy rains are likely in isolated parts of the state of Rajasthan and Gujarat.
  • Heavy rains are forecast over Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Vidarbha.
  • Scattered showers are possible on the west coast of the southern peninsula of India.
  • Widespread falls accompanied by thunderstorms are expected over Rajasthan, western Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Konka and Goa.
  • Fairly widespread rains with thunderstorms are possible over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, East Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are forecast over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Marathawada, Andra Pradesh Coast, Yanam,
  • Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry, Karaikal, Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka and Lakshadweep.
  • Isolated rains are expected over Bihar, eastern Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Rayalaseema, Telangana, northern interior Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe, with a risk of lightning.

Wednesday (August 17)

  • Heavy rains are possible in isolated places in Rajasthan and Gujarat state.
  • Scattered showers on the west coast of the southern peninsula of India.
  • Widespread rains accompanied by thunderstorms are likely over Konkan and Goa.
  • Fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorms is forecast over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Gujarat State and Chhattisgarh.
  • Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Eastern Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha, Marathawada, Coastal Andra Pradesh, Yanam, Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry, Karaikal, Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala, Mahe and Lakshadweep.
  • Isolated rains are likely over Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Marathawada, Rayalaseema, Telangana and northern interior Karnataka, with a risk of lightning.

Summary of forecasts for the next five days

Cumulative precipitation forecast for the next three days from Tuesday to Friday morning

(TWC Met Team)

The low over Madhya Pradesh is likely to weaken into a well-marked low pressure area (WML) on Tuesday as it continues to track west-northwestward. Under the influence of this system and the monsoon trough, very heavy rainfall (≧115mm/day) is possible over Rajasthan, western Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, a new low pressure area is likely to form over the northwest Bay of Bengal around Friday. It is expected to move west-northwestward bringing renewed rainfall activity to Odisha and adjacent area. The center of activity is expected to move west producing very heavy rain (≧115mm/day) over Odisha on Thursday and Friday, eastern Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh on Saturday and Sunday.

An offshore trough extending from Gujarat to the Kerala coast is likely to produce scattered rains on the west coast of the southern peninsula of India during this period, mainly on the Karnataka coast.

As for mercury levels, maximum temperatures are expected to be well below normal in northwest India during this period and slightly below normal in eastern India from Friday, while they are above normal in other regions. In southern India, temperatures are expected to be more than 5°C above normal during this period, where rainfall activity is expected to decrease somewhat. Minimum temperatures will be slightly above normal in the Himalayan region and parts of southern India, while they will be near normal in other areas.

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