Here comes the sun – and the rain – this summer.
Although meteorological summer runs from June 1 to August 31, astrological summer begins on June 21 and ends on September 23.
So, what does the weather have in store for us this season? Well, it depends who you ask, but most agree that it’s going to be a hot summer for most.
Kyle Elliott, director of the Millersville University Weather Information Center, said in an email that summer has already started “quickly” with five days of 90-degree weather so far in Lancaster County. . He predicted the heat would come in “surges” throughout the summer, with extreme heat expected from June 21-23.
Elliott predicted an active season of hurricanes, large hail and isolated tornadoes. State College’s National Weather Service confirmed that an EF1 tornado touched down and caused damage in Kirkwood on Friday, May 27.
“Last year, the remnants of Fred and Tropical Storm Ida produced significant tornadoes and flooding in the Mid-Atlantic region,” Elliott said in an email, “and I wouldn’t be surprised to see something similar happen later this summer or early in the fall.”
Elliott also predicted that tropical storms could impact travel plans.
“I expect at least several named storms to make landfall in the United States this year and ruin vacation plans for some, especially in August and September,” Elliott said via email. “Never attempt to ride out a hurricane on the beach due to the potential for storm surge flooding and severe wind damage.”
The Farmers’ Almanac predicts a hot and drier than normal season for the northeast, adding that the season is likely to be hot across the country.
The Almanac’s long-range forecast for Lancaster calls for a combination of rainy spells and cooler weather in June before warmer weather in July. Although the average temperature in June is forecast at 67 degrees, the Almanac predicts that July and August will be warmer than average.
“Summer will be hotter and drier than normal, with the hottest periods in early and mid to late August,” the Almanac said.
According to the Almanac’s 2-month weather forecast, almost every other week in June and July is expected to change from cool, rainy spells to sunny, warm spells.
The Farmers’ Almanac has been around since 1918 and is known for its long-range weather forecasts. The almanac touts a “secret formula” for predicting the weather, taking into account the prevalence of sunspots, the moon’s tidal action, the position of the planets and more.
AccuWeather predicts similar weather participation, but noting wet weather can help “limit the potential for heat waves” in northeastern regions.
Senior meteorologist Paul Pastelok noted in the report that more humidity could mean an increased risk of severe weather from the Atlantic coast to the Great Lakes region. He pointed out that the pattern is similar to that of 2012, which saw a derecho across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic.
The National Weather Service defines a derecho as a widespread, long-lasting windstorm associated with a band of fast-moving showers or thunderstorms.
“Although a derecho can produce destruction similar to the strength of tornadoes, the damage is generally directed in one direction along a relatively straight band,” NWS said in its definition. “By definition, if the wind-damaged strip extends more than 240 miles (approximately 400 kilometers) and includes wind gusts of at least 58 mph (93 km/h) or more for most of its length, then the event can be classified as a derecho.
Despite the rainy weather, AccuWeather predicts that many cities in the Northeast and Midwest will see a similar number of 90-degree days this summer compared to last year. Philadelphia, for example, had 37 days of 90 degree weather in 2021 – AccuWeather predicts 32 to 36 days of 90 degree weather in 2022.